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@medium.com //
Google Quantum AI has published a study that dramatically lowers the estimated quantum resources needed to break RSA-2048, one of the most widely used encryption standards. The study, authored by Craig Gidney, indicates that RSA cracking may be possible with fewer qubits than previously estimated, potentially impacting digital security protocols used in secure web browsing, email encryption, VPNs, and blockchain systems. This breakthrough could significantly accelerate the timeline for "Q-Day," the point at which quantum computers can break modern encryption.

Previous estimates, including Gidney's 2019 study, suggested that cracking RSA-2048 would require around 20 million qubits and 8 hours of computation. However, the new analysis reveals it could be done in under a week using fewer than 1 million noisy qubits. This reduction in hardware requirements is attributed to several technical innovations, including approximate residue arithmetic, magic state cultivation, optimized period finding with Ekerå-Håstad algorithms, and yoked surface codes & sparse lookups. These improvements minimize the overhead in fault-tolerant quantum circuits, enabling better scaling.

Google's researchers have discovered that, thanks to new error correction tricks and smarter algorithms, the encryption could be broken with under 1 million qubits and in less than a week, given favorable assumptions like a 0.1% gate error rate and a 1-microsecond gate time. This significantly faster encryption breaking capability, potentially 20x faster than previously anticipated, raises concerns about the security of Bitcoin wallets and other financial systems that rely on RSA encryption. The findings could potentially make Bitcoin wallets and financial systems vulnerable much sooner than expected.

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References :
  • medium.com: Last week, Craig Gidney from Google Quantum AI published a breakthrough study that redefines the landscape of cryptographic security. His 
  • www.theguardian.com: Google working on AI email tool that can ‘answer in your style’
  • The Official Google Blog: We’re investing for a cleaner energy future with TAE Technologies, a leading nuclear fusion company.
  • medium.com: Google’s quantum leap just changed everything: They can now break encryption 20x faster than 
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